Mobile Industry Review - Latest Comments in Thought for the day

Re: Thought for the day

Patrickatsms — Mon, 25 Aug 2008 13:00:12 -0000

@barneyc - That's exactly what I think a so-called futurologist should be. You can't determine the future if you don't take into account all the different elements.

Don't get me wrong, I think there are some great analysts (I don't know anyone that calls themself a 'futurologist'). But the ones that are good are those that consider not just can we introduce the technology, but whether we will and what the implications are.

Re: Thought for the day

ollysk2 — Mon, 25 Aug 2008 08:54:55 -0000

Bit like the quote that goes something like "society would be great if it weren't for all the people."

Or maybe it's not like that quote, but the point is that analysts get so myopic at times as to make me wonder how the whole 'analyst industry' has managed to survive! Predictions? Nah wishful thinking mixed with fanatical optimism!

Re: Thought for the day

constantine — Mon, 25 Aug 2008 06:05:12 -0000

you have no idea how hard my new job is where i basically have to read all those reports and then write something competent for Nokia to digest.

Re: Thought for the day

smstextnews — Sun, 24 Aug 2008 04:53:07 -0000

approve

2008/8/24 Disqus <>

Re: Thought for the day

barneyc — Sat, 23 Aug 2008 23:10:46 -0000

My take is that is exactly what a "futurologist" is - they are a blue sky, wishfull thinking person, one with no boundaries or constraints.

An analyst, looks at the existing and determines requirements.

Me, well I'm a product strategist and if I'm reading your post correctly would fit more into the role you envisage for a futurologist. My role is to look at the world around and find tech fit (or define a need for new tech).

Re: Thought for the day

smstextnews — Sat, 23 Aug 2008 20:07:14 -0000

Yes that's where I don't often get on very well with some futurologists or analysts. There's usually a heck-of-a-lot of elements that have to come into play before big sweeping change can happen. I'm thinking, for example, of a lot of the future-gazing reports we see about such-and-such being a $100bn market by 2015.

Until the iPhone App Store went live and Apple reported 1 million, 30 million and later 60 million application downloads, a lot of companies in the industry weren't bothering with applications. Now, as Mr Jobs reckons he might have generated another half billion dollar industry singlehandedly: Witness the likes of RIM and T-Mobile stumbling over themselves to try and get friendly with application developers.